Zamp S.A.'s (BVMF:ZAMP3) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Zamp S.A. (BVMF:ZAMP3) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 22% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zamp's P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Hospitality industry in Brazil is also close to 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Zamp

What Does Zamp's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Zamp has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zamp.

How Is Zamp's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Zamp's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.9% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 85% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 7.2% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 16% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Zamp's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Zamp's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

When you consider that Zamp's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Zamp, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com