Stock Analysis
- Brazil
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- Food and Staples Retail
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- BOVESPA:PGMN3
Does Empreendimentos Pague Menos (BVMF:PGMN3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Empreendimentos Pague Menos S.A. (BVMF:PGMN3) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Empreendimentos Pague Menos
What Is Empreendimentos Pague Menos's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Empreendimentos Pague Menos had R$1.46b of debt at September 2024, down from R$1.74b a year prior. However, it also had R$169.6m in cash, and so its net debt is R$1.30b.
How Healthy Is Empreendimentos Pague Menos' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Empreendimentos Pague Menos had liabilities of R$3.13b due within a year, and liabilities of R$2.85b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$169.6m as well as receivables valued at R$940.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$4.86b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the R$1.76b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Empreendimentos Pague Menos would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Empreendimentos Pague Menos's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.2) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.1, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Empreendimentos Pague Menos actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 150%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Empreendimentos Pague Menos's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Empreendimentos Pague Menos recorded free cash flow of 24% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
To be frank both Empreendimentos Pague Menos's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Empreendimentos Pague Menos has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Empreendimentos Pague Menos (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Empreendimentos Pague Menos might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:PGMN3
Empreendimentos Pague Menos
Operates a chain of pharmacies in Brazil.