Stock Analysis
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Vivara Participações S.A.'s (BVMF:VIVA3) P/E Ratio
It's not a stretch to say that Vivara Participações S.A.'s (BVMF:VIVA3) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Brazil, where the median P/E ratio is around 8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Recent times have been advantageous for Vivara Participações as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
View our latest analysis for Vivara Participações
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Vivara Participações.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
Vivara Participações' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 30%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 89% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 10% during the coming year according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 17% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Vivara Participações is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Vivara Participações' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Vivara Participações with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Vivara Participações. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:VIVA3
Vivara Participações
Engages in the manufacture and sale of jewelry and other articles in Latin America.