Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Vivara Participações S.A. (BVMF:VIVA3) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

BOVESPA:VIVA3
Source: Shutterstock

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Vivara Participações S.A. (BVMF:VIVA3) is about to go ex-dividend in just 4 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Vivara Participações' shares before the 30th of April to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 31st of May.

The company's next dividend payment will be R$0.372854 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed R$0.36 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Vivara Participações has a trailing yield of 1.6% on the current stock price of R$22.70. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Vivara Participações's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

See our latest analysis for Vivara Participações

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Vivara Participações paid out just 22% of its profit last year, which we think is conservatively low and leaves plenty of margin for unexpected circumstances. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Vivara Participações generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Over the last year, it paid out dividends equivalent to 368% of what it generated in free cash flow, a disturbingly high percentage. Our definition of free cash flow excludes cash generated from asset sales, so since Vivara Participações is paying out such a high percentage of its cash flow, it might be worth seeing if it sold assets or had similar events that might have led to such a high dividend payment.

While Vivara Participações's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to Vivara Participações's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
BOVESPA:VIVA3 Historic Dividend April 25th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Vivara Participações's earnings per share have dropped 26% a year over the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Vivara Participações has delivered an average of 21% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past four years of dividend payments.

Final Takeaway

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Vivara Participações? It's disappointing to see earnings per share declining, and this would ordinarily be enough to discourage us from most dividend stocks, even though Vivara Participações is paying out less than half its income as dividends. However, it's also paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow, which makes us wonder just how sustainable the dividend really is. It's not that we think Vivara Participações is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

Ever wonder what the future holds for Vivara Participações? See what the seven analysts we track are forecasting, with this visualisation of its historical and future estimated earnings and cash flow

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vivara Participações is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.