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Does GPS Participações e Empreendimentos (BVMF:GGPS3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies GPS Participações e Empreendimentos S.A. (BVMF:GGPS3) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for GPS Participações e Empreendimentos
What Is GPS Participações e Empreendimentos's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 GPS Participações e Empreendimentos had R$4.75b of debt, an increase on R$3.17b, over one year. However, it also had R$2.40b in cash, and so its net debt is R$2.35b.
How Strong Is GPS Participações e Empreendimentos' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that GPS Participações e Empreendimentos had liabilities of R$3.14b falling due within a year, and liabilities of R$7.16b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$2.40b in cash and R$4.37b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$3.54b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because GPS Participações e Empreendimentos is worth R$12.2b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
GPS Participações e Empreendimentos's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.7 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.6 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. GPS Participações e Empreendimentos grew its EBIT by 5.9% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GPS Participações e Empreendimentos can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, GPS Participações e Empreendimentos's free cash flow amounted to 28% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Based on what we've seen GPS Participações e Empreendimentos is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that it has an adequate capacity to grow its EBIT. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about GPS Participações e Empreendimentos's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that GPS Participações e Empreendimentos is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:GGPS3
GPS Participações e Empreendimentos
Together its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of facilities, security, logistics, utility engineering, industrial service, catering, and infrastructure services in Brazil.