Stock Analysis
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Hubify Limited's (ASX:HFY) 27% Price Drop
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Hubify Limited (ASX:HFY) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 53% share price decline.
Following the heavy fall in price, it would be understandable if you think Hubify is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in Australia's Telecom industry have P/S ratios above 1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Hubify
How Hubify Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hubify over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Hubify will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hubify's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Hubify's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Hubify's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.4% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 5.3% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Hubify's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Hubify's P/S
Hubify's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Telecom companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Hubify confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hubify that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hubify might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:HFY
Hubify
Engages in the sale, customization, and integration of IT and telecommunications systems in Australia.