Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Vection Technologies Limited's (ASX:VR1) 30% Share Price Climb

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ASX:VR1

Despite an already strong run, Vection Technologies Limited (ASX:VR1) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 34% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Vection Technologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Vection Technologies

ASX:VR1 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 13th 2025

How Vection Technologies Has Been Performing

Vection Technologies has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Vection Technologies will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Vection Technologies, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Vection Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Vection Technologies would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Vection Technologies' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Vection Technologies' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Vection Technologies revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Vection Technologies (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.