Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks That May Be Trading Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimates

Published

As the Australian stock market faces challenges with the ASX200 closing down 0.87% amid concerns over China's economic strength, investors are keenly observing sectors that have shown vulnerability, such as Utilities and Real Estate. In this environment, identifying stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value becomes crucial for investors seeking potential opportunities amidst broader market declines.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Accent Group (ASX:AX1)A$2.44A$4.8149.2%
Mader Group (ASX:MAD)A$5.73A$10.4245%
Ansell (ASX:ANN)A$31.46A$57.5645.3%
IDP Education (ASX:IEL)A$13.76A$27.3449.7%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$16.04A$31.2848.7%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$4.95A$9.3847.2%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
Megaport (ASX:MP1)A$7.19A$13.4346.5%
Aussie Broadband (ASX:ABB)A$3.70A$6.7445.1%
Ai-Media Technologies (ASX:AIM)A$0.75A$1.4147%

Click here to see the full list of 44 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We'll examine a selection from our screener results.

Domino's Pizza Enterprises (ASX:DMP)

Overview: Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited operates retail food outlets and has a market capitalization of A$3.37 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segment includes A$2.38 billion from its restaurant operations.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 11.2%

Domino's Pizza Enterprises is trading at A$36.5, below its estimated fair value of A$41.09, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent shareholder dilution and a dividend not well-covered by earnings, the company shows strong profit growth prospects with earnings expected to grow significantly over the next three years. However, it faces legal challenges related to allegations of misleading conduct in Japan and has been dropped from the S&P/ASX 100 Index recently.

ASX:DMP Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Gold Road Resources (ASX:GOR)

Overview: Gold Road Resources Limited explores gold properties in Western Australia and has a market capitalization of A$2.05 billion.

Operations: Gold Road Resources generates revenue from its development and production activities, amounting to A$454.82 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 43.9%

Gold Road Resources, trading at A$1.9, is significantly undervalued compared to its estimated fair value of A$3.38, presenting a potential opportunity based on cash flows. Despite a decrease in sales and net income for the first half of 2024, the company's earnings are projected to grow substantially at 21.54% annually over the next three years, outpacing both revenue growth and market averages. However, its return on equity remains forecasted below industry benchmarks in three years' time.

ASX:GOR Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL)

Overview: Vulcan Steel Limited, along with its subsidiaries, operates in the sale and distribution of steel and metal products across New Zealand and Australia, with a market capitalization of A$1.08 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments comprise NZ$471.29 million from steel and NZ$593.04 million from metals.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 28.6%

Vulcan Steel, currently trading at A$8.2, is undervalued relative to its fair value estimate of A$11.48, suggesting a potential opportunity based on cash flows. Despite a decline in sales and net income for the fiscal year 2024, with net profit margins down from 7.1% to 3.8%, earnings are forecasted to grow significantly at over 32% annually, surpassing market averages. However, interest payments are not well covered by earnings and dividend stability remains uncertain.

ASX:VSL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Taking Advantage

  • Delve into our full catalog of 44 Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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