Stock Analysis

Analysts Expect Breakeven For Evolution Energy Minerals Limited (ASX:EV1) Before Long

ASX:EV1
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We feel now is a pretty good time to analyse Evolution Energy Minerals Limited's (ASX:EV1) business as it appears the company may be on the cusp of a considerable accomplishment. Evolution Energy Minerals Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Australia. The AU$33m market-cap company announced a latest loss of AU$14m on 30 June 2023 for its most recent financial year result. The most pressing concern for investors is Evolution Energy Minerals' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? In this article, we will touch on the expectations for the company's growth and when analysts expect it to become profitable.

Check out our latest analysis for Evolution Energy Minerals

Expectations from some of the Australian Metals and Mining analysts is that Evolution Energy Minerals is on the verge of breakeven. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2025, before generating positive profits of AU$1.9m in 2026. So, the company is predicted to breakeven approximately 2 years from now. What rate will the company have to grow year-on-year in order to breakeven on this date? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 54%, which signals high confidence from analysts. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:EV1 Earnings Per Share Growth January 17th 2024

Underlying developments driving Evolution Energy Minerals' growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, but, take into account that typically a metal and mining business has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the natural resource mined and stage at which the company is operating. This means, large upcoming growth rates are not abnormal as the company is beginning to reap the benefits of earlier investments.

One thing we’d like to point out is that Evolution Energy Minerals has no debt on its balance sheet, which is quite unusual for a cash-burning metals and mining company, which typically has high debt relative to its equity. This means that the company has been operating purely on its equity investment and has no debt burden. This aspect reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Evolution Energy Minerals, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Evolution Energy Minerals' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of essential factors you should further examine:

  1. Historical Track Record: What has Evolution Energy Minerals' performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Evolution Energy Minerals' board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.