Stock Analysis

The Returns On Capital At Good Drinks Australia (ASX:GDA) Don't Inspire Confidence

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ASX:GDA

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Good Drinks Australia (ASX:GDA), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Good Drinks Australia:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.015 = AU$1.4m ÷ (AU$162m - AU$72m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

Thus, Good Drinks Australia has an ROCE of 1.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Beverage industry average of 11%.

See our latest analysis for Good Drinks Australia

ASX:GDA Return on Capital Employed May 24th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Good Drinks Australia's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Good Drinks Australia for free.

So How Is Good Drinks Australia's ROCE Trending?

In terms of Good Drinks Australia's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 9.6% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

On a side note, Good Drinks Australia's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 44% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 1.5%. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.

What We Can Learn From Good Drinks Australia's ROCE

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Good Drinks Australia is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 66% in the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.

One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Good Drinks Australia (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.