Stock Analysis
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- ASX:PPE
Peoplein (ASX:PPE) stock falls 10% in past week as three-year earnings and shareholder returns continue downward trend
It's not possible to invest over long periods without making some bad investments. But really big losses can really drag down an overall portfolio. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Peoplein Limited (ASX:PPE); the share price is down a whopping 79% in the last three years. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 29% in the last year. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 10%.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Peoplein isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
See our latest analysis for Peoplein
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the three years that the share price fell, Peoplein's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 39% each year. So do you think it's a coincidence that the share price has dropped 40% per year, a very similar rate to the EPS? We don't. So it seems that investor expectations of the company are staying pretty steady, despite the disappointment. In this case, it seems that the EPS is guiding the share price.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Peoplein's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Peoplein's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Peoplein shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 76%, over the last 3 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Peoplein had a tough year, with a total loss of 27%, against a market gain of about 14%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 11% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Peoplein better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Peoplein (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
Peoplein is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:PPE
Peoplein
Provides staffing, business, and operational services in Australia, New Zealand, and Singapore.