Stock Analysis

Polytec Holding AG (VIE:PYT) Analysts Are Cutting Their Estimates: Here's What You Need To Know

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WBAG:PYT

Last week, you might have seen that Polytec Holding AG (VIE:PYT) released its quarterly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.0% to €2.24 in the past week. Revenues of €158m were in line with expectations, although statutory losses per share were €0.21, some 13% smaller than was expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Polytec Holding

WBAG:PYT Earnings and Revenue Growth November 18th 2024

After the latest results, the two analysts covering Polytec Holding are now predicting revenues of €672.4m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a satisfactory 2.0% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Polytec Holding forecast to report a statutory profit of €0.20 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €724.9m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.60 in 2025. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share estimates.

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 29% to €3.82.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that Polytec Holding's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.6% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 2.8% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.1% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Polytec Holding.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Polytec Holding. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Polytec Holding's future valuation.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Polytec Holding that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.