Stock Analysis

Improved Earnings Required Before Emaar Development PJSC (DFM:EMAARDEV) Shares Find Their Feet

DFM:EMAARDEV
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.7x Emaar Development PJSC (DFM:EMAARDEV) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United Arab Emirates have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 26x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Emaar Development PJSC as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Emaar Development PJSC

pe-multiple-vs-industry
DFM:EMAARDEV Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Emaar Development PJSC's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Emaar Development PJSC?

Emaar Development PJSC's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 36% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 154% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 2.5% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 4.9% each year, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Emaar Development PJSC is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From Emaar Development PJSC's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Emaar Development PJSC maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Emaar Development PJSC that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Emaar Development PJSC is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.