Stock Analysis

AviChina Industry & Technology (HKG:2357) Could Easily Take On More Debt

SEHK:2357
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited (HKG:2357) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for AviChina Industry & Technology

What Is AviChina Industry & Technology's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 AviChina Industry & Technology had CN¥12.3b of debt, an increase on CN¥11.4b, over one year. But it also has CN¥40.5b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥28.1b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2357 Debt to Equity History April 24th 2024

A Look At AviChina Industry & Technology's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, AviChina Industry & Technology had liabilities of CN¥85.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥11.4b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥40.5b and CN¥56.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

Having regard to AviChina Industry & Technology's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥23.7b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, AviChina Industry & Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that AviChina Industry & Technology has boosted its EBIT by 44%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if AviChina Industry & Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While AviChina Industry & Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, AviChina Industry & Technology recorded free cash flow of 42% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about AviChina Industry & Technology's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥28.1b. And we liked the look of last year's 44% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is AviChina Industry & Technology's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with AviChina Industry & Technology , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether AviChina Industry & Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.