BHP Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

BHP Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 2.4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 14.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 14.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.9% in 3 years.

Key information

14.5%

Earnings growth rate

14.6%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	13.7%
Revenue growth rate	-2.4%
Future return on equity	21.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 May 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

We Think Some Shareholders May Hesitate To Increase BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) CEO Compensation

Oct 25

BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Sep 23

BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 29% Above Its Share Price

Aug 20

BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

Aug 02

BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

May 23

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP)

May 03

BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

Apr 18

These 4 Measures Indicate That BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Feb 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:BHP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2026	52,098	12,770	9,946	19,612	16
6/30/2025	54,460	13,248	10,523	20,505	18
6/30/2024	55,174	7,866	9,570	19,400	18
12/31/2023	55,656	7,391	12,015	20,815	N/A
9/30/2023	54,920	10,156	11,817	19,758	N/A
6/30/2023	54,184	12,921	11,618	18,701	N/A
3/31/2023	57,374	15,576	15,513	22,184	N/A
12/31/2022	60,564	18,231	19,407	25,667	N/A
9/30/2022	62,988	19,238	22,735	28,921	N/A
6/30/2022	65,411	20,245	26,063	32,174	N/A
3/31/2022	64,657	18,089	25,722	31,658	N/A
12/31/2021	63,903	15,932	25,381	31,142	N/A
9/30/2021	60,579	13,731	23,406	29,188	N/A
6/30/2021	57,255	11,529	21,430	27,234	N/A
3/31/2021	47,033	9,235	17,622	22,434	N/A
12/31/2020	44,950	7,156	10,867	17,633	N/A
9/30/2020	44,087	7,556	9,467	16,670	N/A
6/30/2020	39,153	7,848	9,539	15,706	N/A
3/31/2020	44,812	8,704	9,123	16,873	N/A
12/31/2019	45,832	9,452	10,179	18,039	N/A
9/30/2019	45,060	9,047	10,464	17,955	N/A
6/30/2019	44,572	8,641	10,748	17,871	N/A
3/31/2019	43,712	8,739	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	43,649	8,836	12,023	18,392	N/A
9/30/2018	43,518	7,731	12,316	18,427	N/A
6/30/2018	43,129	6,626	12,608	18,461	N/A
3/31/2018	42,072	5,580	12,012	17,456	N/A
12/31/2017	37,687	5,005	11,972	16,450	N/A
9/30/2017	37,016	5,684	N/A	16,627	N/A
6/30/2017	35,947	6,362	N/A	16,804	N/A
3/31/2017	36,682	4,189	N/A	14,933	N/A
12/31/2016	34,698	2,488	N/A	13,062	N/A
9/30/2016	33,027	-1,948	N/A	11,844	N/A
6/30/2016	29,005	-490	N/A	10,625	N/A
3/31/2016	33,653	-6,248	N/A	12,379	N/A
12/31/2015	35,936	-6,111	N/A	14,133	N/A
9/30/2015	40,527	-1,344	N/A	16,715	N/A
6/30/2015	45,124	3,422	N/A	19,296	N/A
12/31/2014	48,419	9,320	N/A	23,928	N/A
9/30/2014	52,821	11,442	N/A	24,646	N/A
6/30/2014	57,314	13,563	N/A	25,364	N/A
3/31/2014	67,547	14,365	N/A	25,102	N/A
12/31/2013	67,870	14,897	N/A	24,840	N/A
9/30/2013	66,929	13,060	N/A	22,497	N/A
6/30/2013	54,375	12,535	N/A	20,154	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BHP's forecast earnings growth (14.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: BHP's earnings (14.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (13.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BHP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: BHP's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BHP's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BHP's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.9%)

BHP Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Bhp Group Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

BHP Group Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

HP Group Limited Reaffirms Production Results for the Fiscal Year 2024

Recent updates

BHP Chief Urges Anglo Investors to Consider Takeover Benefits

Is BHP Group (ASX:BHP) A Risky Investment?

BHP Group Launches Bid to Acquire Anglo American

Bhp Group Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

BHP Group Limited Appoints Ross McEwan as Director

Whitehaven Coal Limited (ASX:WHC) completed the acquisition of Metallurgical Coal Assets in Australia from Mitsubishi Development Pty Ltd and BHP Group Limited (ASX : BHP).

Ian Cockerill Will Retire as an Independent Non-Executive Director of BHP Group Limited on 4 April 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) Share Price

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

BHP Group Limited Appoints Ross Mcewan CBE as A Non-Executive Director with Effect from 3 April 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.72 per share

First half dividend of US$0.72 announced

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

First half 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

BHP Group Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on March 28, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

BHP Group Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

BHP Group Limited Appoints Catherine Raw as Chief Development Office, Effective 29 April 2024

CEO & Executive Director recently sold AU$19m worth of stock

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP)

BHP Group Limited Announces Executive Changes

BHP Group Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jan 18, 2024

Chief Financial Officer recently sold AU$2.0m worth of stock

BHP Group Limited Announces the Retirement of Terry Bowen as Independent Non-Executive Director

We Think Some Shareholders May Hesitate To Increase BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) CEO Compensation

Whitehaven Coal Limited (ASX:WHC) agreed to acquire Metallurgical Coal Assets in Australia from Mitsubishi Development Pty Ltd and BHP Group Limited (ASX : BHP) for $4.1 billion.

HP Group Limited Reaffirms Production Results for the Fiscal Year 2024

BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Whitehaven Reportedly Leads the Way in Auction for BHP Coal Mines

BHP Group Limited Announces Retainment of Terry Bowen Independent Non-Executive Director

CEO & Executive Director exercised options and sold AU$5.2m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.80 per share at 5.9% yield

BHP Group Limited Re-Affirms Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

BHP Group Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

BHP Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 01, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 29% Above Its Share Price

Coronado Reportedly Exits BHP Coal Race

BHP Extends Timeline for Sale of Coal Mines

BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

Suitors Reportedly Prepare to Lob Bids for Chalice

BHP Group Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

JSW Group Eyes Coal Mines of BHP Group

BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP)

BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

Upcoming dividend of US$0.90 per share at 10% yield

These 4 Measures Indicate That BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

First half 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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