Stock Analysis

Pfizer Inc.'s (NYSE:PFE) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

NYSE:PFE
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It's not a stretch to say that Pfizer Inc.'s (NYSE:PFE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Pfizer

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:PFE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 3rd 2024

What Does Pfizer's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Pfizer's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Pfizer.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Pfizer?

Pfizer's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 42%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 40% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.6% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 20% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Pfizer's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Pfizer's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

When you consider that Pfizer's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Pfizer (including 2 which are potentially serious).

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Pfizer is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.