Stock Analysis

SHIFT Inc.'s (TSE:3697) recent 4.4% pullback adds to one-year year losses, institutional owners may take drastic measures

TSE:3697
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Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in SHIFT implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • A total of 4 investors have a majority stake in the company with 53% ownership
  • Insiders own 35% of SHIFT

If you want to know who really controls SHIFT Inc. (TSE:3697), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. With 36% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And institutional investors endured the highest losses after the company's share price fell by 4.4% last week. This set of investors may especially be concerned about the current loss, which adds to a one-year loss of 42% for shareholders. Institutions or "liquidity providers" control large sums of money and therefore, these types of investors usually have a lot of influence over stock price movements. Hence, if weakness in SHIFT's share price continues, institutional investors may feel compelled to sell the stock, which might not be ideal for individual investors.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of SHIFT, beginning with the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for SHIFT

ownership-breakdown
TSE:3697 Ownership Breakdown April 28th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About SHIFT?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

SHIFT already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see SHIFT's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:3697 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 28th 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in SHIFT. With a 35% stake, CEO Masaru Tange is the largest shareholder. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 7.7% and 7.2%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

Our research also brought to light the fact that roughly 53% of the company is controlled by the top 4 shareholders suggesting that these owners wield significant influence on the business.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of SHIFT

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own a reasonable proportion of SHIFT Inc.. It is very interesting to see that insiders have a meaningful JP¥92b stake in this JP¥258b business. It is good to see this level of investment. You can check here to see if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

With a 27% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over SHIFT. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand SHIFT better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for SHIFT that you should be aware of before investing here.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SHIFT is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.