Stock Analysis

Caspian Sunrise plc's (LON:CASP) largest shareholder, CEO Kuat Oraziman sees holdings value fall by 21% following recent drop

AIM:CASP
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Key Insights

If you want to know who really controls Caspian Sunrise plc (LON:CASP), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are individual insiders with 60% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

As market cap fell to UK£99m last week, insiders would have faced the highest losses than any other shareholder groups of the company.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Caspian Sunrise.

See our latest analysis for Caspian Sunrise

ownership-breakdown
AIM:CASP Ownership Breakdown June 16th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Caspian Sunrise?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Caspian Sunrise. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Caspian Sunrise, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AIM:CASP Earnings and Revenue Growth June 16th 2023

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Caspian Sunrise. With a 47% stake, CEO Kuat Oraziman is the largest shareholder. Daehan New Pharm Co., Ltd. is the second largest shareholder owning 10% of common stock, and Abai Kalmyrzayev holds about 3.5% of the company stock.

After doing some more digging, we found that the top 2 shareholders collectively control more than half of the company's shares, implying that they have considerable power to influence the company's decisions.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Our information suggests that there isn't any analyst coverage of the stock, so it is probably little known.

Insider Ownership Of Caspian Sunrise

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own the majority of Caspian Sunrise plc. This means they can collectively make decisions for the company. That means they own UK£60m worth of shares in the UK£99m company. That's quite meaningful. It is good to see this level of investment. You can check here to see if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 16% stake in Caspian Sunrise. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Public Company Ownership

We can see that public companies hold 11% of the Caspian Sunrise shares on issue. This may be a strategic interest and the two companies may have related business interests. It could be that they have de-merged. This holding is probably worth investigating further.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Caspian Sunrise you should be aware of.

If you would prefer check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, backed by strong financial data.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Caspian Sunrise is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.