Stock Analysis

Those who invested in Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC (ADX:ADNOCDIST) five years ago are up 75%

ADX:ADNOCDIST
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Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. To wit, the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC share price has climbed 33% in five years, easily topping the market decline of 21% (ignoring dividends).

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

View our latest analysis for Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 4.1% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 6% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
ADX:ADNOCDIST Earnings Per Share Growth April 30th 2024

Dive deeper into Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC the TSR over the last 5 years was 75%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 0.1% in the twelve months, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC shareholders did even worse, losing 15% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 12% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC that you should be aware of.

But note: Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Emirian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.