Update shared on 21 Dec 2025
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on AmpliTech Group to align with an updated fair value estimate of $9.00 per share, reflecting modest tweaks to the discount rate and earnings multiple assumptions.
What's in the News
- Breakthrough 64T64R CAT B Massive MIMO O RAN radio successfully completed initial lab testing at the O RAN Global PlugFest Fall 2025, making AmpliTech the first U S company to bring a commercial grade 64T64R radio into formal O RAN testing (company announcement)
- Formal release of new Band 50 n50 5G Open RAN radios targeting large scale fixed wireless access deployments, with production shipments beginning in December 2025 under an LOI that has expanded from $78 million to slightly over $100 million in anticipated revenues (company announcement)
- Raised 2025 revenue guidance to at least $25 million, implying roughly 160 percent year over year growth versus 2024, and projecting at least $50 million in revenue for 2026, roughly doubling the updated 2025 outlook (company guidance)
- Announced a $32 million composite units rights offering, consisting of 8,000,000 equity derivative units priced at $4 per unit with a stated per security discount (company filing)
- Outlined a long term framework for continued expansion through 2030, targeting 25 percent to 30 percent annual revenue growth, led by its AGTGSS segment (company guidance)
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate reaffirmed at $9.00 per share, with no change in the modeled intrinsic value.
- Discount Rate risen slightly from 8.56 percent to about 8.58 percent, reflecting a modest increase in perceived risk or funding costs.
- Revenue Growth Assumption effectively unchanged at roughly 54.51 percent, indicating no material shift in top line growth expectations.
- Net Profit Margin effectively unchanged at approximately 23.31 percent, with only immaterial model rounding adjustments.
- Future P/E Multiple risen slightly from about 13.65 times to 13.65 times, signaling a marginally higher valuation multiple applied to forward earnings.
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