Update shared on 16 Dec 2025
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Grove Collaborative Holdings, citing incremental improvements in projected profit margins and a slightly richer fair value outlook. Together, these factors support a new target that is approximately 2 percent above the prior estimate.
What's in the News
- Issued new guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, indicating revenue is expected to remain roughly flat compared with the prior quarter (company guidance).
- Lowered full year 2025 revenue outlook to a range of approximately $172.5 million to $175 million, tracking toward the bottom of its previously communicated guidance as it keeps advertising spend restrained while upgrading customer experience (company guidance).
- Confirmed the promotion of Interim Chief Financial Officer Tom Siragusa to permanent CFO, with continued responsibility as principal financial and accounting officer (company filing).
- Announced a new initiative with carbon accounting partner Gravity to measure and mitigate the environmental impact of AI usage, including publishing an open source methodology for AI related emissions (company sustainability announcement).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value: maintained at an implied 2.0 rating, signaling no material change in the underlying long term valuation view.
- Discount Rate: risen slightly from about 9.25 percent to approximately 9.48 percent, reflecting a modestly higher required return from investors.
- Revenue Growth: effectively unchanged at roughly 3.69 percent, indicating stable expectations for long term top line expansion.
- Net Profit Margin: improved slightly from about 4.74 percent to approximately 4.88 percent, suggesting a modestly more optimistic outlook on profitability.
- Future P/E: edged down slightly from around 12.29x to about 12.01x, implying a marginally lower valuation multiple on expected earnings.
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