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Update shared on19 Aug 2025

Fair value Increased 7.08%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$6.58
37.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
19 Aug
US$4.09
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1Y
-47.0%
7D
6.2%

Analysts have raised Gran Tierra Energy’s price target to $6.58, citing potential growth and diversification from its Canadian expansion and i3 Energy integration, while highlighting execution and balance sheet risks.


Analyst Commentary


  • Company’s repositioning and entrance into Canada offer potential for differentiated growth and increased geographic diversification.
  • Integration of the i3 Energy acquisition remains a key near-term focus and potential uncertainty for investors.
  • Balance sheet improvement continues to be a primary area of investor scrutiny.
  • The new market presence in Canada is viewed positively, but execution risks remain.
  • Bearish analysts see comparatively more attractive investment opportunities among Canadian peers in the sector at this time.

What's in the News


  • Repurchased 239,754 shares (0.67%) for CAD 1.05 million from April to July 2025, completing buyback of 1,180,752 shares (3.53%) for CAD 6.78 million under the November 2024 program.
  • Reported working interest production before royalties of 47,196 boe/d for Q2 2025, up from 32,776 boe/d a year earlier; six-month production at 46,923 boe/d versus 32,509 boe/d previously.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Gran Tierra Energy

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $6.14 to $6.58.
  • The Future P/E for Gran Tierra Energy has risen from 2.93x to 3.11x.
  • The Net Profit Margin for Gran Tierra Energy remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 14.80% to 14.97%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.