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Update shared on04 Aug 2025

Fair value Decreased 6.54%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$6.58
37.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
19 Aug
US$4.09
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1Y
-47.0%
7D
6.2%

Analysts have modestly lowered Gran Tierra Energy’s price target from $6.57 to $6.14, citing optimism around its Canadian market entry and i3 Energy integration tempered by execution risks, balance sheet concerns, and relatively stronger opportunities among Canadian peers.


Analyst Commentary


  • The company's strategic repositioning and entry into the Canadian market offer potential for differentiated growth and enhanced geographic diversification.
  • The integration of i3 Energy is a key focus area and presents both opportunities and execution risks.
  • Balance sheet improvement initiatives will likely remain front of mind for investors, impacting near-term sentiment.
  • Analysts express measured optimism due to these growth platforms but recognize the need for successful integration and financial strengthening.
  • Despite these positives, some see more attractive opportunities among Canadian peer companies relative to Gran Tierra at present.

What's in the News


  • Second quarter WI Production Before Royalties reached 47,196 boe/d, up from 32,776 boe/d year-over-year.
  • Six-month WI Production Before Royalties was 46,923 boe/d, compared to 32,509 boe/d in the prior year period.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Gran Tierra Energy

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen from $6.57 to $6.14.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Gran Tierra Energy has significantly risen from 8.1% per annum to 10.7% per annum.
  • The Future P/E for Gran Tierra Energy has significantly fallen from 3.55x to 2.95x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.