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Update shared on09 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 3.13%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$51.86
1.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
09 Oct
US$52.54
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Analysts have raised their price target for Federated Hermes from $50.29 to $51.86, citing continued improvements in industry organic growth and better-than-expected equity net flows as key drivers for the upward revision.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst updates reveal a generally optimistic sentiment regarding Federated Hermes, as evidenced by raised price targets and improved ratings. However, there are distinct points of enthusiasm as well as caution that market participants should consider.

Bullish Takeaways

  • The company's price targets have been raised notably, which reflects confidence in its ability to deliver value and support higher valuations in the future.
  • There is evidence that industry organic growth has remained positive for a fourth straight month. This trend supports long-term revenue expansion for Federated Hermes.
  • Both stocks and bonds ended the recent period broadly higher. This development has created a favorable market environment for traditional asset managers such as Federated Hermes.
  • Equity net flows have exceeded expectations, which suggests effective execution in attracting and retaining assets under management.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Although price targets are being revised upward, some analysts maintain a more neutral outlook with “Sector Perform” style ratings. This signals lingering uncertainty about the stock's ability to outperform peers in the long term.
  • Ongoing positive trends in organic growth and net flows may be partially priced in, leading to questions about whether the pace of improvement can be sustained in the future.
  • Results for August and the upcoming quarter are still unknown, which introduces execution risk and the potential for market volatility if announced flows or AUM underwhelm expectations.

What's in the News

  • Federated Hermes introduced the Enhanced Income ETF (CBOE: PAYR), aiming to provide consistent monthly income and capital appreciation for income-oriented investors, particularly those near retirement. The ETF employs a strategy combining high-dividend stocks and an options overlay, managed by experienced in-house teams. (Product Related Announcements)
  • The company also launched the Federated Hermes MDT Market Neutral ETF, seeking long-term capital appreciation with limited general market risk. The fund leverages over three decades of successful market neutral strategies by Federated Hermes MDT Advisers. (Product Related Announcements)
  • The Board of Directors authorized a new share buyback plan, under which Federated Hermes may repurchase up to 5,000,000 shares for use in employee compensation, acquisitions, and other corporate purposes. (Buyback Transaction Announcements)
  • Between April and June 2025, Federated Hermes repurchased 1,523,100 shares for $63.56 million as part of a larger buyback program, totaling nearly 5% of company shares repurchased since October 2024. (Buyback Tranche Update)

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has increased slightly from $50.29 to $51.86, reflecting a modest upward revision in expectations.
  • The Discount Rate has edged higher, moving from 8.34% to 8.42%. This signals a marginal increase in the risk premium factored into valuation calculations.
  • The Revenue Growth Projection has risen from 3.27% to 4.62%, indicating an improved outlook for the company's top-line expansion.
  • The Net Profit Margin has declined fractionally, slipping from 20.50% to 20.34%. This suggests expectations for profitability remain steady with a minor decrease.
  • The Future P/E Ratio is essentially unchanged, ticking up slightly from 10.61x to 10.63x. This shows only a marginal difference in anticipated earnings multiples.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.