Update shared on 30 Oct 2025
Fair value Increased 4.26%Bread Financial Holdings has seen its analyst price target increase from $67.33 to $70.20. Analysts point to improved credit trends and a stable earnings outlook as supporting factors for the upward revision.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst reports offer a nuanced view of Bread Financial Holdings’ prospects following its latest earnings update and revised price targets. The commentary highlights both opportunities and ongoing risks facing the company.
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts are encouraged by the continued improvement in Bread Financial’s credit trends, which have supported reserve releases and strengthened the company's fundamentals.
- The stable outlook for quarterly results and earnings is seen as a positive factor supporting a higher valuation.
- Improving near-term credit performance, even in the context of slowing hiring, has reduced perceived downside risks for the firm.
- Lower interest rates are contributing to a more supportive macro environment. This has led to upward revisions of price targets.
Bearish Takeaways
- Bearish analysts caution that macroeconomic and consumer risks, especially those affecting nonprime borrowers and the retail segment, remain a concern for Bread Financial’s future growth.
- Despite encouraging Q3 credit trends, some believe that earnings stability could be challenged if economic headwinds intensify for lower-end consumers.
- Concerns persist around the company’s exposure to a more volatile segment of the market. This could limit execution and valuation upside in uncertain conditions.
What's in the News
- Bread Financial Holdings increased its quarterly cash dividend by 10 percent, raising it from $0.21 to $0.23 per share. The dividend is payable on December 12, 2025. (Key Developments)
- The company's Board of Directors expanded its equity buyback authorization by $200 million. The total available for repurchases is now $400 million. (Key Developments)
- Bread Financial completed a repurchase of 983,398 shares for $60 million, representing 2.11 percent of shares outstanding, between August and October 2025. (Key Developments)
- Raymour & Flanigan entered a new partnership with Bread Financial to launch a private label credit program, which is set to roll out later this year. (Key Developments)
- Bread Financial named several new co-lead underwriters for its $500 million fixed-income offering. These include U.S. Bancorp Investments, Scotia Capital, RBC Capital Markets, J.P. Morgan Securities, Fifth Third Securities, CIBC World Markets, KeyBanc Capital Markets, and Truist Securities. (Key Developments)
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $67.33 to $70.20. This reflects increased analyst confidence in Bread Financial Holdings’ valuation.
- Discount Rate has fallen from 11.87 percent to 11.29 percent, indicating a slightly more favorable risk profile for the company.
- Revenue Growth expectations have declined marginally from 20.21 percent to 19.72 percent.
- Net Profit Margin estimate has decreased modestly from 8.89 percent to 8.49 percent.
- Future P/E ratio has edged higher, moving from 9.46x to 9.53x. This suggests a slight increase in expected valuation multiples.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
