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LII: Rising Profit Margins And Share Buybacks Will Boost Future Returns

Update shared on 09 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.54%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-22.7%
7D
-4.2%

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Lennox International from $575.25 to $572.13, citing an increase in projected revenue growth and profit margin. These improvements are partially offset by a higher discount rate and a modest decline in the forecasted future P/E ratio.

What's in the News

  • Completed repurchase of 63,000 shares for $36.95 million, bringing total buybacks since 2014 to over 16.1 million shares, or 38.59% of outstanding shares (Company Disclosure).
  • Actively seeking bolt-on acquisitions to enhance distribution capabilities and expand the product portfolio while maintaining healthy debt leverage, according to CFO Michael Quenzer (Company Disclosure).
  • Revised 2025 earnings guidance, now anticipating approximately 1% decrease in full-year revenue (Company Disclosure).
  • Accelerated digital transformation with the launch of AI-powered support tools for technicians and homeowners. These tools have logged over 15,000 sessions and 7,000 registered users to date (Company Disclosure).
  • First to complete DOE lab validation in the 15-25 ton category for commercial cold climate heat pump rooftops. This advances high-efficiency HVAC technology for commercial buildings (DOE, Company Disclosure).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target decreased marginally from $575.25 to $572.13.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly, moving from 8.25% to 8.51%.
  • Revenue Growth projection increased from 4.80% to 5.79%.
  • Net Profit Margin forecast edged higher, up from 15.93% to 16.01%.
  • Expectation for the future P/E ratio fell from 24.57x to 23.81x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.