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Update shared on10 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 0.94%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$274.85
16.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
10 Oct
US$229.42
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T-Mobile US saw its analyst fair value target rise to approximately $274.85 from $272.30. Analysts cite the company's sustained network advantages and improved revenue growth forecasts as reasons supporting the upward revision.

Analyst Commentary

Analysts continue to update their outlook and price targets for T-Mobile US, reflecting the company's operating progress and both near- and long-term market dynamics. Their assessments highlight a range of factors influencing the company's share performance and industry positioning.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts cite T-Mobile's sustained network advantages as a key factor reinforcing its marketing edge, enabling the company to differentiate from competitors even in a slower economic environment.
  • Consensus forecasts call for T-Mobile to maintain superior KPI performance, with expectations of continued outperformance on metrics such as subscriber growth and free cash flow per share.
  • Recent upward revisions in price targets reflect growing confidence in revenue growth prospects and the ability to deliver on improved earnings guidance through 2025 and beyond.
  • The company's cash tax benefits from recent reforms and disciplined execution are seen as drivers of robust long-term free cash flow growth, further supporting higher valuations.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts are attentive to the risk that a slowing overall economy could dampen postpaid additions across the top carriers, which could impact T-Mobile's momentum.
  • Competitive pressures remain heightened, particularly as new market entrants and established rivals pursue direct-to-device opportunities and strategic partnerships outside the T-Mobile ecosystem.
  • There are concerns that, despite strong current performance, incremental sector growth could moderate if customer acquisition costs or technology investments escalate more than forecast.

What's in the News

  • T-Mobile announced a major expansion of its T-Satellite service with Starlink, enabling satellite-powered data connectivity for popular apps like WhatsApp, Google Maps, and more in areas without traditional coverage. (Company Announcement)
  • The Board of Directors appointed Srini Gopalan as the next CEO of T-Mobile US, effective November 1, 2025, as part of a long-term succession plan. Mike Sievert will become Vice Chairman. (Company Announcement)
  • T-Mobile introduced SuperMobile, a business plan with intelligent 5G performance, built-in security, and seamless satellite coverage. This offering is now available for business customers of all sizes, including Delta Air Lines and Axis Energy Services. (Company Announcement)
  • T-Mobile US declared a cash dividend of $1.02 per share, marking a 16% increase from the prior quarter. The dividend is payable on December 11, 2025. (Company Announcement)
  • Charter and Comcast entered a multi-year agreement to use T-Mobile's network for delivering mobile services to business customers. Launch is expected in 2026. (Company Announcement)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly, increasing from $272.30 to approximately $274.85 per share.
  • Discount Rate remains unchanged at 6.78%.
  • Revenue Growth forecasts have increased. The projected annual growth has risen from 5.35% to 6.14%.
  • Net Profit Margin projections have declined marginally, moving from 17.56% to 17.45%.
  • Future P/E ratio estimates have decreased slightly, from 19.71x to 19.58x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.