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AI Computing And Digital Services Will Drive Future Market Expansion

Update shared on 15 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 1.12%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-28.6%
7D
-5.0%

Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for HP to $28.28 per share, citing a slightly improved revenue growth outlook. However, they continue to expect stable profit margins and valuation multiples in light of recent sector trends.

Analyst Commentary

Recent commentary from major Wall Street firms highlights a mix of optimism about HP's revenue growth prospects and continued caution regarding its margin pressures and valuation risks.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight that HP's revenue trends are stabilizing, with both commercial and consumer PC segments showing resilience in recent quarters.
  • They point to positive industry momentum, particularly as increased AI adoption drives spending in the IT hardware space. This could expand HP's addressable market over time.
  • Some see HP's valuation as reasonable and note a modest increase in fair value estimates as forecasted revenue growth edges higher.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts remain cautious about HP's profit margins, citing higher-than-expected tariff costs and unfavorable product mix, which have weighed on recent performance.
  • Certain forecasters have trimmed near-term estimates, reflecting mixed gross margin results despite solid top-line numbers.
  • There is skepticism about the sustainability of multiple expansion given ongoing sector volatility and muted upside in current valuation multiples.

What's in the News

  • HP, along with other major U.S. tech firms, reportedly contributed to the design and development of China's digital surveillance infrastructure, including participation in projects such as the "Golden Shield" policing system, according to an Associated Press investigation (AP).
  • HP announced new products, including the HP Series 5 Pro 14" Portable Monitor and the HP Workforce Experience Platform. These offerings are designed to support remote and hybrid workers with enhanced productivity and AI-powered device management.
  • Consumer365 named HP's All-In Plan the top-rated printer subscription service of 2025, recognizing its full-service approach to in-home and small office printing needs.
  • HP and Continuum Powders launched a strategic partnership to advance high-performance alloys for additive manufacturing, targeting aerospace and energy industry applications.
  • The latest OMEN and HyperX gaming lineup from HP features AI-enhanced performance, creator tools, and next-generation audio solutions for gamers and streamers.

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly to $28.28 per share, up from $27.97.
  • Discount Rate increased modestly and is now at 9.12% compared to 9.07% previously.
  • Revenue Growth projections have edged higher, with expected annual growth now at 1.41%, up from 1.26%.
  • Net Profit Margin has dipped marginally to 5.12%, down from 5.14%.
  • Future P/E Ratio forecast increased to 11.63x from 10.58x, reflecting updated market expectations.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.