Update shared on 21 Dec 2025
Fair value Increased 28%Analysts have raised their price target on Diebold Nixdorf from 60 dollars to 77 dollars, citing expectations for slightly faster revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a modestly higher required return that together still support a richer valuation on future earnings.
What's in the News
- The Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase plan, under which Diebold Nixdorf may buy back up to 200 million dollars of its shares, signaling confidence in long term value creation (buyback transaction announcements).
- The company has already repurchased approximately 1.9 million shares for about 100 million dollars, representing just over 5 percent of shares under the current buyback program (buyback tranche update).
- Management reaffirmed 2025 earnings guidance and reported total revenue up 2 percent year over year and 3 percent sequentially, supported by accelerating retail activity and steady banking demand (corporate guidance).
- Diebold Nixdorf launched its DN Series 300 and 350 cash dispensers, featuring the new DM7V dispensing module that increases availability, note capacity and cash handling efficiency while supporting sustainability goals (product related announcement).
- New client wins and expansions, including Autogrill in Italy, ROSSMANN in Switzerland, and banks in the Middle East and Jordan adopting VCP and VCP Lite 7 on Windows 11 ATMs, highlight growing global demand for the company’s self service and retail technology platforms (client announcements).
Valuation Changes
- Fair value estimate has risen meaningfully from 60 dollars to 77 dollars per share, reflecting higher expected earnings power.
- Discount rate has increased slightly from about 9.08 percent to about 9.37 percent, modestly raising the required return applied to future cash flows.
- Revenue growth has been revised up moderately from about 3.37 percent to about 3.87 percent annually, implying a somewhat stronger top line outlook.
- Net profit margin has increased significantly from about 6.12 percent to about 7.61 percent, indicating improved expectations for operating efficiency and profitability.
- Future P/E multiple has edged down from about 11.22 times to about 9.93 times, suggesting the higher valuation is driven more by earnings improvements than multiple expansion.
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