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DBD: Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside Amid Stable Earnings Outlook

Update shared on 07 Dec 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
39.8%
7D
3.6%

Analysts have nudged their price target on Diebold Nixdorf slightly higher to approximately $79.00 per share. This reflects modestly lower perceived risk and steady long term growth and margin assumptions that support a still-attractive valuation multiple.

What's in the News

  • Launched DN Series 300 and 350 self service cash dispensers using the new DM7V module, offering higher availability, shared cassette infrastructure and energy efficient components to reduce costs and improve sustainability (Key Developments)
  • Expanded long term retail partnership with ROSSMANN, supporting its entry into the Swiss market with managed services, self checkout and POS systems based on a model proven in more than 2,350 German stores (Key Developments)
  • Bank AlJazira became the first bank globally to deploy VCP Lite 7 software on Windows 11 across more than 400 DN Series ATMs, enabling NFC and multilingual transactions and extending platform support into 2034 (Key Developments)
  • Reaffirmed 2025 earnings guidance, indicating trends toward the high end of revenue targets, with 2% year over year growth and 3% sequential growth driven by retail acceleration and steady banking contributions (Key Developments)
  • Authorized and advanced a share repurchase program of up to $200 million, completing buybacks of about 5.06% of shares outstanding for roughly $100 million through early November 2025 (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Maintained at approximately $79.00 per share, indicating no material change in intrinsic value estimate.
  • Discount Rate: Fallen slightly from about 9.49% to 9.43%, reflecting modestly lower perceived risk in the cash flow outlook.
  • Revenue Growth: Essentially unchanged at roughly 3.96% per year, signaling a stable medium term growth outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin: Remained effectively flat at about 7.53%, suggesting no meaningful shift in long term profitability assumptions.
  • Future P/E: Edged down slightly from around 10.29x to 10.27x, implying a marginally lower valuation multiple on forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

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