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LPTH: Record Backlog Will Drive Demand and Margin Expansion Into 2027

Update shared on 27 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 7.69%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
269.9%
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Analysts have raised their price target for LightPath Technologies from $9.75 to $10.50 per share, citing LightPath's strong backlog, improved pipeline opportunities, and the early success of its strategy to move up the value chain as key drivers for their updated outlook.

Analyst Commentary

Recent research notes reflect a largely optimistic outlook on LightPath Technologies, as analysts have significantly raised their price targets based on the company's evolving strategy and strong performance metrics.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts highlight LightPath’s substantial backlog and a pipeline of potential opportunities, suggesting these could be transformational for future growth.
  • Positive momentum in order wins and robust top line outperformance have set the stage for continued momentum into fiscal years 2026 and 2027.
  • LightPath’s strategic move up the value chain, with a focus on offering more comprehensive systems, is beginning to deliver faster revenue growth and higher margins.
  • Operational efficiencies implemented by management are expected to drive improved leverage and profitability, even as the company pursues rapid expansion.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Some analysts caution that while top line growth is strong, near-term profitability results remain relatively lighter compared to peers.
  • There is ongoing scrutiny regarding the company’s ability to sustain elevated levels of demand and convert backlog into consistent earnings growth.
  • Execution risk is noted, particularly as LightPath seeks to ramp up new systems and scale operations to meet rising expectations.

What's in the News

  • Received a $4.8 million purchase order from an existing customer to supply advanced infrared camera systems for public safety. Delivery is scheduled for fiscal 2026 (Key Developments).
  • Secured a follow-on $22.1 million purchase order from a leading global technology customer for infrared camera systems. This order is set for delivery in calendar year 2027 and follows an earlier $18.2 million order for 2026 (Key Developments).
  • Completed a private placement for gross proceeds of $8 million through the issuance of 1.6 million class A shares, with participation from Ondas Holdings, Inc. and Unusual Machines, Inc. (Key Developments).
  • LightPath Technologies was added to the S&P Global BMI Index (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from $9.75 to $10.50 per share, reflecting a positive reassessment of future prospects.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly, moving from 8.50% to 8.51%.
  • Revenue Growth estimates have decreased from 39.27% to 35.65%, indicating a more conservative outlook on expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin forecasts have edged down from 8.83% to 8.75%.
  • Future P/E ratio has increased from 75.78x to 77.00x, indicating a higher market valuation on projected earnings.

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Disclaimer

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