Update shared on16 Aug 2025
Fair value Increased 32%The analyst price target for Evolv Technologies Holdings has been raised significantly, driven by a Q2 earnings beat, upgraded FY25 revenue guidance, improved business outlook following regulatory clarity and management changes, as well as momentum across key industry verticals, lifting the consensus fair value from $7.19 to $9.50.
Analyst Commentary
- Q2 earnings beat on both revenue and AEBITDA, leading to upgraded financial forecasts for FY25.
- Increased FY25 revenue guidance, with estimates raised from $126M to $133M, indicating stronger business outlook.
- Likelihood of continued strong bookings in Q3, contributing to positive sentiment.
- Diminishing regulatory overhang following completion of company statements and changes in management, creating a more favorable business environment.
- Momentum and strengthening tailwinds observed across major industry verticals.
What's in the News
- Raised 2025 revenue guidance to $132 million–$135 million from previous $125 million–$130 million, anticipating 27%–30% year-over-year growth.
- Renewed Evolv Express® subscription agreement with Major League Soccer's Columbus Crew, covering all stadium entrances and supporting over 2.1 million guest screenings to date.
- By Q1 2025, about half of new business from existing customers; 12 US professional soccer teams and nearly 100 global sports and entertainment venues now use Evolv systems.
- Initial 2025 guidance projected revenues of $125 million–$130 million, up 20%–25% year-over-year, with an emphasis on operational efficiency for improved profitability and cash flow.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for Evolv Technologies Holdings
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly risen from $7.19 to $9.50.
- The Future P/E for Evolv Technologies Holdings has significantly risen from 101.02x to 135.28x.
- The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Evolv Technologies Holdings has significantly risen from 17.6% per annum to 19.8% per annum.
Disclaimer
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