Update shared on20 Aug 2025
Fair value Decreased 6.86%Analysts have modestly cut Riskified's price target to $5.82 amid concerns over softer near-term revenue guidance and persistent same-store sale pressure, despite solid quarterly results and bullish views on long-term pipeline and product adoption.
Analyst Commentary
- Bullish analysts emphasize positive new business trends, strong adoption of non-chargeback guarantee offerings, and a healthy sales pipeline supporting long-term growth.
- Q2 revenue and adjusted EBITDA exceeded estimates, but the near-term outlook was overshadowed by limited flow-through of the beat to full-year guidance and a reiteration of the EBITDA outlook.
- Persistent same-store sale pressure continues to negatively impact overall growth potential despite positive quarterly results.
- Bearish analysts cited weaker H1 gross margin performance and low single-digit Q3 revenue growth assumptions as headwinds, fueling cautious price target adjustments.
- Several analysts maintain expectations for a return to double-digit revenue growth in 2026, underpinning some continued bullishness despite near-term challenges.
What's in the News
- Riskified announced a share repurchase program of up to $75 million, funded from existing cash, pending Israeli regulatory approval.
- From April to August 2025, Riskified repurchased 8.28 million shares for $40.7 million; in total, 13.14 million shares bought for $65 million under the November 2024 buyback plan.
- The Board of Directors authorized a new buyback plan.
- Earnings guidance for 2025 was raised, with revenue now expected between $336 million and $346 million.
- Riskified partnered with HUMAN Security to address fraud risks from AI-driven shopping agents, launching new AI-specific solutions and tools for ecommerce merchants.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for Riskified
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen from $6.25 to $5.82.
- The Net Profit Margin for Riskified has significantly risen from 0.03% to 1.81%.
- The Future P/E for Riskified has significantly fallen from 7465.81x to 130.33x.
Disclaimer
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