Update shared on11 Sep 2025
Fair value Increased 2.23%The analyst price target for Rubrik was raised to $115.20, reflecting strong Q2 revenue growth, robust subscription ARR, improving margins, and solid operating momentum.
Analyst Commentary
- Strong Q2 revenue growth of 51% year-over-year, significantly exceeding consensus estimates by 10%.
- Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) increased by 36% year-over-year, signaling robust demand for recurring services.
- Notable improvement in NG subscription margin, rising 17.6 percentage points year-over-year to reach 9.4%.
- Better-than-expected net new annual recurring revenue, even after adjusting for changes in sales team quota structures.
- Continued positive operating momentum supports bullish upward price target revisions.
What's in the News
- Rubrik announced the acquisition of AI startup Predibase for $100M-$500M, aiming to accelerate its multi-product ambitions and AI capabilities (CNBC, 2025-06-25).
- Following the Predibase acquisition, Rubrik launched Agent Rewind, a new solution designed to enhance visibility, auditability, and safe rollback for agentic AI systems, addressing reliability and risk issues in enterprise AI deployment (Product-Related Announcements, 2025-08-12).
- Rubrik and Sophos formed a strategic partnership to deliver an integrated Microsoft 365 backup and recovery solution optimized for managed detection and response (MDR), offering enhanced protection against ransomware and data loss through Sophos Central (Client Announcements, 2025-08-05).
- The company expanded its cloud data protection services with new offerings for Amazon DynamoDB and enhanced cyber-resilience solutions for Amazon RDS for PostgreSQL, providing centralized management, immutable backups, and cost efficiencies to meet rising compliance and security needs (Client Announcements, 2025-07-15).
- Rubrik was added to multiple major Russell indices, including the Russell 1000, 2500, 3000, Midcap, and Small Cap Completeness, increasing its visibility and potential institutional ownership among investors (Index Constituent Adds, 2025-06-28/30).
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for Rubrik
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from $112.68 to $115.20.
- The Net Profit Margin for Rubrik has fallen from 13.09% to 12.41%.
- The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Rubrik has fallen from 26.2% per annum to 24.9% per annum.
Disclaimer
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