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Update shared on29 Jul 2025

Fair value Increased 21%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$5.83
22.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
29 Jul
US$7.14
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490.1%
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11.6%

The significant upward revision in BigBear.ai Holdings’ consensus analyst price target from $4.83 to $5.83 is primarily driven by increased future P/E multiples and modestly improved revenue growth forecasts.


What's in the News


  • BigBear.ai confirmed multiple deployments of its Pangiam® biometric software for Enhanced Passenger Processing at major international airports and ports of entry, aiming to streamline arrivals and enhance security.
  • Announced a strategic partnership with Easy Lease PJSC and Vigilix Technology Investment L.L.C. to accelerate AI-enabled solution deployment and digital transformation initiatives throughout the UAE and the broader region.
  • Collaborated with Analogic to integrate BigBear.ai’s Pangiam® Threat Detection Platform with Analogic's CT scanner technology, enhancing real-time AI-driven threat detection in airport security operations worldwide.
  • Appointed Sean Ricker as interim CFO, succeeding Julie Peffer, who is leaving the company.
  • A class action lawsuit has been filed alleging deficient accounting policies and improper reporting related to the company’s 2026 Convertible Notes, resulting in misstated financial statements and potentially necessary restatements.
  • Announced a collaboration with Hardy Dynamics to support a U.S. Army AI/ML project under Project Linchpin, leveraging BigBear.ai's ConductorOS platform to enable secure UAS swarm communication and coordination.
  • Reaffirmed 2025 revenue guidance, projecting $160 million to $180 million for the year ending December 31, 2025.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for BigBear.ai Holdings

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly risen from $4.83 to $5.83.
  • The Future P/E for BigBear.ai Holdings has significantly risen from 165.78x to 199.01x.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for BigBear.ai Holdings has risen slightly from 9.0% per annum to 9.3% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.