Update shared on26 Sep 2025
Fair value Increased 5.60%TeraWulf’s price target has been raised to $12.86 as analysts cite transformative strategic agreements—including new long-term leases with Fluidstack and Google’s substantial investment—which strengthen its credit, growth outlook, and market positioning in AI/HPC infrastructure.
Analyst Commentary
- Bullish analysts highlight new long-term colocation agreements with Fluidstack, which diversify TeraWulf's customer base and add significant, contracted critical IT load (CITL), enhancing growth prospects.
- Google's $1.8B lease backstop and equity investment in conjunction with Fluidstack deals are viewed as transformative, materially boosting TeraWulf's credit profile, financing visibility, and reputation within the AI/high performance computing ecosystem.
- Analysts raise EBITDA and revenue expectations, citing expanding contracted capacity—such as the 200+ MW Fluidstack deal and 422MW signed leases—along with an 80-year ground lease at a key site, all of which improve long-term cash flow and site utilization.
- Convertible notes offerings and exercised capacity options are factored positively, as analysts believe they enable further portfolio expansion and additional site development, widening the company's addressable market.
- Upside risks cited include potential for additional tenant wins, further site additions, and industry leadership in hyperscale AI/HPC infrastructure, offset by watch items around execution and funding.
What's in the News
- TeraWulf (WULF) is among the publicly traded companies positioned to benefit from a proposed White House order allowing alternative investments, including crypto, in 401(k) retirement portfolios, though this introduces new risks for investors (Reuters, Aug 10).
- The White House is set to release a comprehensive crypto policy report that may shape industry regulations, directly impacting companies like TeraWulf engaged in digital asset activities (Reuters, Jul 30).
- President Trump plans to sign an executive order to open U.S. retirement markets to crypto, gold, and private equity, potentially expanding the accessible investor base for TeraWulf and peers (Financial Times, Jul 18).
- Progress on landmark crypto regulation bills in the House has been tumultuous; despite lengthy debate and opposition, the bills have advanced, impacting the regulatory landscape for TeraWulf (CNBC, Jul 17).
- Bitcoin’s surge past $120,000, credited to robust institutional buying, could positively influence crypto mining companies like TeraWulf, with further gains expected despite broader market uncertainties (CNBC, Jul 14).
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for TeraWulf
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $12.18 to $12.86.
- The Future P/E for TeraWulf has risen from 42.41x to 46.60x.
- The Net Profit Margin for TeraWulf has fallen from 17.15% to 15.95%.
Disclaimer
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