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Update shared on04 Aug 2025

Fair value Decreased 14%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$152.36
28.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
04 Aug
US$109.20
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1Y
-43.3%
7D
-22.1%

SPS Commerce’s consensus price target has been substantially reduced, primarily reflecting analysts’ lower expectations for both future earnings growth and revenue growth, resulting in a new target of $152.36.


What's in the News


  • Repurchased 144,786 shares for $20 million in Q2 2025, completing the repurchase of 425,787 shares for $59.99 million under the July 2024 buyback program.
  • Issued Q3 2025 guidance with expected revenue of $191.7–$193.2 million (17–18% YoY growth) and net income per diluted share of $0.50–$0.54.
  • Full-year 2025 guidance anticipates revenue of $759.0–$763.0 million (19–20% YoY growth) and net income per diluted share of $2.17–$2.22.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for SPS Commerce

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly fallen from $177.73 to $152.36.
  • The Future P/E for SPS Commerce has significantly fallen from 72.59x to 55.06x.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for SPS Commerce has significantly fallen from 14.5% per annum to 11.1% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.