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Update shared on26 Sep 2025

Fair value Increased 1.97%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$55.81
17.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
10 Oct
US$46.01
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1Y
48.2%
7D
-4.3%

Analysts have raised JFrog’s price target to $54.88, citing increased confidence in its expanding security and platform offerings, strong execution, and resilient recurring revenue growth.


Analyst Commentary


  • Increased confidence in JFrog’s market positioning driven by new product announcements, especially the AppTrust solution, expanding the platform’s scope and enhancing Enterprise Plus upgrade incentives.
  • Strong execution potential and competitive differentiation, resulting in higher applied valuation multiples and consistent price target raises by bullish analysts.
  • Solid momentum in security-related offerings, with the shift toward higher-growth cybersecurity and opportunities in MLOps contributing to improved investor sentiment.
  • JFrog’s licensing model seen as relatively insulated from industry-wide developer headcount pressures, with limited growth but sustained relevance as AI and code generation tools drive efficiencies in DevOps.
  • Recent financial performance highlighted by accelerating cloud adoption, recurring revenue improvement, and larger annual cloud commitments, supporting expectations for continued growth.

What's in the News


  • JFrog announced AppTrust and its Evidence Ecosystem partners, providing a centralized, cryptographically signed audit trail and improved automation for compliance, security, and release readiness across the software development lifecycle.
  • The company unveiled JFrog Fly, a developer experience platform introducing AI agents using Model Context Protocol (MCP) standards to orchestrate artifacts, accelerate delivery, and simplify agentic software development and distribution.
  • JFrog launched an enhanced AI Catalog for secure governance, consumption, and deployment of AI/ML models (including NVIDIA Nemotron), integrating end-to-end security, compliance, discoverability, and streamlined deployment into external AI providers.
  • New AI agent-based capabilities were introduced for automated software vulnerability remediation, leveraging JFrog’s Security Research and integrations (e.g., GitHub Copilot) to flag insecure code and provide contextual, policy-compliant fixes directly in developers’ environments.
  • Earnings guidance for Q3 2025 was set at $127–129 million in revenue, with full-year expectations of $507–510 million.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for JFrog

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from $53.81 to $54.88.
  • The Future P/E for JFrog has risen slightly from 99.82x to 101.93x.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for JFrog remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 15.8% per annum to 15.7% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.