Narrative updates are currently in beta.

Back to narrative

Update shared on16 Aug 2025

Fair value Increased 6.48%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$52.60
13.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
21 Aug
US$59.48
Loading
1Y
24.3%
7D
5.6%

The notable upward revision in Advance Auto Parts’ price target reflects improved revenue growth forecasts and an increase in expected future P/E, resulting in a new consensus analyst price target of $52.60.


What's in the News


  • Advance Auto Parts expects 2025 net sales of $8.4 billion to $8.6 billion and guided Q2 net sales at $1.98 billion to $2.00 billion, with flat to slightly positive comparable store sales.
  • The company was dropped from multiple indices including Russell 1000, Russell Midcap, and Russell 1000 Value benchmarks, but was added to the Russell 2000, Russell 2000 Value, and Russell 2000 Dynamic indices.
  • No shares were repurchased in Q1 2025, completing the buyback program with a total of 12,114,059 shares bought for $2.15 billion since 2019.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Advance Auto Parts

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $49.40 to $52.60.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Advance Auto Parts has significantly risen from -0.0% per annum to 0.9% per annum.
  • The Future P/E for Advance Auto Parts has significantly risen from 12.58x to 14.74x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.