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KURA: Upcoming FDA Decision Will Drive Momentum in Oncology Portfolio

Update shared on 06 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 0.67%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-43.8%
7D
0.9%

Kura Oncology's fair value price target saw a modest increase from $27.00 to $27.18. Analysts cited updated financial metrics and maintained a cautious outlook following recent peer research coverage.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst coverage on Kura Oncology presents a balanced outlook, reflecting both optimism for the company's future and reservations regarding its execution and market position.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight Kura Oncology's promising pipeline of oncology therapies. They suggest potential for meaningful long-term growth if key assets continue to advance through clinical development.
  • The company's recent financial updates point to solid cash reserves, supporting ongoing research activities and helping to mitigate near-term funding concerns.
  • Improved transparency in reporting and management guidance have increased confidence in the company’s ability to execute on operational milestones.
  • Kura's targeted approach within the oncology sector is seen as a strategic advantage for eventual market differentiation and partnership opportunities.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts contend that limited near-term catalysts may dampen investor enthusiasm until pivotal clinical trial results are released.
  • There are ongoing concerns surrounding the highly competitive nature of the oncology market, which could challenge Kura’s ability to capture sustainable market share.
  • Questions remain about the company’s execution risk, particularly regarding the timely progression of its lead candidates through regulatory milestones.
  • The modest increase in the fair value estimate reflects caution, as analysts await more substantial data or strategic moves to support a more definitive growth outlook.

What's in the News

  • Kura Oncology announced receipt of a $30 million milestone payment from Kyowa Kirin for first patient dosing in the second Phase 3 KOMET-017 trial of ziftomenib, an investigational oral menin inhibitor (Key Developments).
  • The company has now received $105 million in milestone payments under the Kyowa Kirin collaboration and expects up to $315 million in additional, near-term payments (Key Developments).
  • Preliminary clinical data from the ESMO 2025 Congress show encouraging antitumor activity and manageable safety profiles for Kura's farnesyl transferase inhibitor programs, darlifarnib and tipifarnib, in advanced solid tumors (Key Developments).
  • The Journal of Clinical Oncology published full results from Kura's pivotal KOMET-001 Phase 2 trial. Ziftomenib met its primary endpoint in relapsed/refractory NPM1-mutated AML, and the therapy is now under priority review by the FDA with a target action date of November 30, 2025 (Key Developments).
  • Kura and Kyowa Kirin dosed the first patient in a new KOMET-007 trial cohort. This trial combines ziftomenib with other therapies for newly diagnosed AML and reflects further expansion of their menin inhibitor clinical program (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target increased slightly from $27.00 to $27.18, reflecting a minor revision upward.
  • Discount Rate rose moderately from 6.78% to 6.84%, indicating a marginal increase in perceived market risk.
  • Revenue Growth estimate fell significantly, decreasing from 73.5% to 63.3%.
  • Net Profit Margin projection edged up from 16.06% to 16.28%.
  • Future P/E ratio forecast declined from 49.89x to 48.11x, pointing to a slightly lower valuation multiple.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.