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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for EXAS

Update shared on 18 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 5.78%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
34.8%
7D
-1.8%

Analysts have raised their price target for Exact Sciences to approximately $70 from $65, citing strong momentum from new revenue opportunities and increased confidence in long-term growth drivers.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst actions on Exact Sciences reflect notable shifts in sentiment, both positive and cautious, following the company’s latest performance and strategic moves. Perspectives highlight the evolving outlook on the company's valuation, execution, and long-term growth trajectory.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Some bullish analysts have raised price targets, citing opportunities in the company’s expanding screening franchise and the successful rollout of new offerings.
  • Confidence in long-term growth is bolstered by the company’s first-line screening strategy and the momentum seen from recent clinical validation studies.
  • The recently announced deal with a competitor has improved access to additional blood-based testing capabilities, which could accelerate FDA approval timelines and enhance growth prospects.
  • Ongoing improvements in cash flow and EBITDA margins are seen as supportive of higher valuation multiples and further stock upside.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Some bearish analysts have reduced price targets, pointing to disappointing results in the company’s CRC blood data, which tempered near-term enthusiasm.
  • Concerns remain about the pace of adoption in the blood-based screening market and whether new product launches can deliver immediate revenue impact.
  • Cautious voices stress that recent stock volatility, despite solid quarterly outcomes, may persist as the company navigates execution risks and regulatory hurdles.

What's in the News

  • Launched Cancerguard™, a new multi-cancer early detection (MCED) blood test available in the United States. The test is capable of detecting signals from over 50 cancer types with high specificity and sensitivity (Key Developments).
  • Announced a nationwide partnership with Quest Diagnostics to enable broad access to the Cancerguard test at approximately 7,000 patient locations, including at-home collection options (Key Developments).
  • Expanded partnership with Humana Inc., making the FDA-approved Cologuard Plus™ test available as an in-network service for eligible Medicare Advantage members nationwide beginning August 2025 (Key Developments).
  • Revised 2025 revenue guidance upward and now expects total revenue in the range of $3.130 billion to $3.170 billion (Key Developments).
  • Reaffirmed 2027 long-term target of 15% compounded revenue growth (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from $65.38 to $69.16, reflecting improved growth expectations.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly from 7.15% to 7.20%, which indicates a modest adjustment in risk assessment.
  • Revenue Growth projection has increased from 11.66% to 12.04%, suggesting higher anticipated top-line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin estimate has edged down from 6.87% to 6.52%, signaling slightly lower profitability expectations.
  • Future P/E multiple has risen from 57.81x to 63.86x, which reflects higher market valuation for expected earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.