Update shared on 15 Nov 2025
Fair value Decreased 2.39%Narrative Update on Ibotta
Analysts have adjusted Ibotta’s price target downward by $0.71 to $29.14, citing recalibrated growth and margin assumptions in their updated models.
What's in the News
- Ibotta, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, projecting revenue between $80 and $85 million. This reflects a year-over-year decrease of 16% at the midpoint (Corporate Guidance).
- The company completed the repurchase of 5,255,935 shares for a total of $210.08 million. This represents nearly 20% of shares bought back under the buyback announced in August 2024 (Buyback Tranche Update).
- Ibotta announced LiveLift, a new tool designed to help CPG brands maximize promotion profitability, with successful pilot campaigns reported by several major brands (Product-Related Announcements).
- Circana and Ibotta entered a strategic partnership to enable CPG brands to measure the true incremental impact of Ibotta campaigns. A broad rollout is planned for late 2025 to early 2026 (Strategic Alliances).
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target: Decreased slightly from $29.86 to $29.14.
- Discount Rate: Increased moderately from 6.78% to 6.96%.
- Revenue Growth: Improved from -1.34% to -0.20%, indicating a less negative growth outlook.
- Net Profit Margin: Increased significantly from 23.3% to 68.3%.
- Future P/E: Declined sharply from 971.14x to 313.14x, reflecting valuation adjustments.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.