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TZOO: Subscriber Growth Will Drive Recovery Despite Near-Term Forecast Cuts

Update shared on 20 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 12%
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Analysts have revised their price target for Travelzoo downward from $25.25 to $22.25. They cited softer-than-expected Q3 results and lowered growth projections for 2025, although expectations for 2026 remain positive.

Analyst Commentary

Analysts have provided a mix of optimistic and cautious insights following Travelzoo's latest performance and updated forecasts.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts continue to maintain positive ratings on Travelzoo, even as price targets have recently been revised downward.
  • Subscriber growth is expected to be a significant driver of stronger performance in 2026.
  • There is continued confidence in Travelzoo’s longer-term growth prospects, with expectations of a recovery beyond the current year’s volatility.
  • The core business model and consumer engagement strategies are considered supportive of future valuation improvements.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts point to softer than expected Q3 results, which have resulted in immediate reductions in price targets.
  • Concerns remain regarding execution risks, especially in relation to meeting 2025 forecasts.
  • Revised projections suggest more modest growth in the near term, affecting sentiment and valuation.
  • Changes to longer-term forecasts highlight ongoing competitive and operational headwinds expected in 2025.

What's in the News

  • Noble Capital lowered its price target for Travelzoo to $21 from $26. The firm maintained an Outperform rating and cited a downwardly revised 2026 forecast after softer Q3 results (Noble Capital).
  • Travelzoo released new Club Offers for UK Club Members, including discounted stays at a Yorkshire manor, a luxury hotel in Portugal’s Douro Valley, a ski trip in the French Alps, a 5-star countryside retreat in Spain, and London West End show and dinner packages (Travelzoo announcement).
  • Travelzoo launched new Club Offers for U.S. members, featuring savings on Portugal vacations with flights, Bali trips, Hawaii two-island getaways, hotel stays under $99, and half-off nationwide spa treatments (Travelzoo announcement).
  • Travelzoo completed the repurchase of 1,000,000 shares for $14.55 million, representing 8.61% of shares outstanding as part of its ongoing buyback program (Travelzoo announcement).
  • Travelzoo provided updated earnings guidance and projected continued and accelerating revenue growth through 2025 and beyond, with increasing profitability as recurring membership fees are recognized (Travelzoo guidance).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased from $25.25 to $22.25, reflecting a more cautious outlook.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly from 8.12% to 8.47%, signaling an increase in perceived investment risk.
  • Revenue Growth projection has fallen significantly from 10.84% to 7.02%, indicating tempered expectations for top-line expansion in the near term.
  • Net Profit Margin has decreased from 14.99% to 10.17%, suggesting expectations for lower profitability.
  • Future P/E has increased from 14.24x to 25.32x. This may indicate a valuation premium despite reduced growth and profit forecasts.

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