Update shared on 15 Dec 2025
Analysts have nudged their price target on Snail slightly higher to reflect modest improvements in valuation inputs, including a marginally lower discount rate and slightly more favorable forward earnings multiple assumptions. This results in a refined fair value estimate of approximately $3.00 per share.
What's in the News
- Completed a private placement of senior unsecured convertible notes totaling $2.2 million in principal for $2.0 million in proceeds, with a 10% original issue discount, 10% annual interest, a one time 5% interest charge, 12 month maturity, and a $5.00 per share conversion price (Key Developments, October 24, 2025).
- Entered into a new private placement securities purchase agreement for an additional $1.0 million senior unsecured convertible note, issued at a 10% original issue discount for $900,000 in proceeds, with a one time 5% interest charge, 12 month maturity, and a $5.00 per share conversion price, including participation from Monroe Street Capital Partners, LP (Key Developments, November 26, 2025).
- Confirmed December 4, 2025 release date for airship building RPG Echoes of Elysium and launched multiple cross media and indie publishing milestones, including ARK x Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles collaboration, global rollout of Rebel Engine, and awards for Above the Snow and Salty TV titles (Key Developments, Product Related Announcements).
- Announced leadership change as founder and chairman Hai Shi became sole Chief Executive Officer effective October 1, 2025, following the non renewal of Co CEO Xuedong Tian’s offer letter (Key Developments, Executive Changes).
- Expanded international exposure for key titles, including Honeycomb: The World Beyond showcases at Gamescom and Tokyo Game Show 2025 and cross industry partnerships to promote Above the Snow and Rebel Engine globally (Key Developments, Product Related Announcements).
Valuation Changes
- Fair value estimate refined marginally to approximately $3.00 per share, reflecting modest adjustments to underlying assumptions.
- Discount rate edged down slightly from about 10.04 percent to 10.01 percent, modestly increasing the present value of projected cash flows.
- Revenue growth effectively unchanged at roughly 33.82 percent, indicating no material revision to top line expansion expectations.
- Net profit margin essentially flat at around 10.32 percent, implying stable long term profitability assumptions.
- Future P/E decreased slightly from about 7.66x to 7.65x, signaling a very small improvement in valuation attractiveness on forward earnings.
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