Loading...
Back to narrative

SNAL: Shares Will Benefit From Improving EBITDA Outlook By 2026

Update shared on 17 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 14%
n/a
n/a
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
n/a
Loading
1Y
-43.0%
7D
-5.0%

Snail's analyst price target has been revised downward to $3.00 from $3.50. This change reflects adjusted expectations based on recent financial results and updates to future revenue growth and profit margin outlooks.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst discussions have reflected both optimism and caution about Snail’s prospects following its recent financial results. The updated price target signals a reassessment of near-term performance; however, the long-term view remains nuanced.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts highlight that, even after downward revisions, shares are trading at what they see as a compelling valuation compared to expected future earnings.
  • There is confidence that Snail’s operational execution can improve over the next several quarters, supporting the potential for EBITDA expansion by 2026.
  • Despite recent setbacks, growth opportunities remain for Snail if management can address margin pressures and capitalize on new revenue streams.
  • Some investors believe that market expectations are now more reasonable, possibly setting the stage for outperformance if Snail delivers stronger results ahead.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts are cautious following disappointing quarterly results, noting that recent performance raises questions about Snail’s ability to consistently achieve revenue and profit targets.
  • Lowered adjusted EBITDA expectations reflect ongoing margin pressures and uncertainty in the company’s growth trajectory.
  • Execution challenges, particularly in maintaining profitability as the business scales, remain a key concern among skeptics.

What's in the News

  • Snail Games showcased Honeycomb: The World Beyond at both Gamescom and Tokyo Game Show 2025. These appearances mark significant steps ahead of the title’s global launch on November 6, 2025. (Key Developments)
  • The company unveiled several new cross-industry partnerships for indie titles Above the Snow and Rebel Engine, including collaborations with international brands and a VTuber for soundtrack composition. (Key Developments)
  • Snail appointed Hai Shi as sole Chief Executive Officer. This follows the end of the co-CEO arrangement with Xuedong (Tony) Tian as of October 1, 2025. (Key Developments)
  • Snail completed a private placement, issuing a $2.2 million senior unsecured convertible promissory note with a 10% annual interest rate and a $5 conversion price per share. (Key Developments)
  • The company reported a $415.7 million impairment of film assets for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has been lowered from $3.50 to $3.00, reflecting a decline of $0.50 per share.
  • Discount Rate has decreased slightly from 10.19% to 10.03%, indicating a modest reduction in perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth projections have risen significantly, moving from 18.46% previously to 33.82% in the latest update.
  • Net Profit Margin is expected to improve marginally, increasing from 9.44% to 9.94%.
  • Future P/E (Price-to-Earnings) multiple has fallen from 12.78x to 8.15x. This change signals a more conservative valuation outlook.

Have other thoughts on Snail?

Create your own narrative on this stock, and estimate its Fair Value using our Valuator tool.

Create Narrative

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.