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PPG: Cyclical Weakness Will Ease And Depressed Share Price Will Rebound

Update shared on 22 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 1.16%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-19.5%
7D
1.7%

The analyst consensus price target for PPG Industries has decreased modestly from $121.20 to $119.80, as analysts cite ongoing cyclical weakness in key end markets and note that a softer macroeconomic environment is pressuring near-term earnings expectations.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst notes reflect a mix of optimism about PPG Industries' long-term potential and caution regarding near-term pressures. The following summarizes prevailing viewpoints across the Street:

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight that PPG's current valuation appears more depressed than warranted by underlying business fundamentals. This suggests room for multiple expansion as conditions normalize.
  • Expectations remain that cyclical headwinds, rather than structural issues, are currently weighing on earnings. There is potential for accelerated profit growth as macroeconomic factors improve, particularly from 2026 onward.
  • Long-term outlooks remain positive, as the company’s core demand patterns are viewed as resilient despite recent softness in select end markets.
  • Some positive ratings reflect confidence in management’s ability to execute through volatility and preserve shareholder value during downturns.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts are lowering price targets in response to persistent weakness across several industrial and commodity-linked end markets. This reflects cautious short-term sentiment.
  • Macro uncertainty is cited as a key risk, with inconsistent industrial demand and commodity business slippage contributing to earnings pressure.
  • Recent updates indicate that hopes for stronger Q4 seasonality have faded, which is dampening near-term growth expectations.
  • There is concern that a subdued macro environment may continue to act as a drag on results, at least through the remainder of the year.

What's in the News

  • PPG Industries has introduced an ultrafiltration (UF) antifouling membrane designed for industrial water treatment, featuring a super-hydrophobic surface to resist oil and contaminant fouling and produced without intentionally added PFAS. (Key Developments)
  • The company completed a buyback of 6,002,071 shares, representing 2.63% of shares outstanding, totaling $690 million under the repurchase program announced in April 2024. (Key Developments)
  • PPG launched PPG ENVIROCRON Extreme Protection Edge Plus, a patent-pending powder coating that advances edge-protection technology, offering improved corrosion resistance and a smoother finish for industrial applications. (Key Developments)
  • PPG unveiled MIX'N'SHAKE, an automated paint stirring system for automotive refinish, which increases color accuracy, reduces waste, and saves time for body shops. (Key Developments)
  • Solera and PPG formed a strategic partnership to integrate PPG's automotive refinish coatings with Solera's Sustainable Estimatics platform, enabling body shops to track and manage their CO2 emissions per repair. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased slightly from $121.20 to $119.80.
  • Discount Rate has risen marginally from 7.90% to 8.04%.
  • Revenue Growth estimate is nearly unchanged, moving fractionally from 2.98% to 2.98%.
  • Net Profit Margin estimate has declined slightly from 11.46% to 11.44%.
  • Future P/E has increased from 15.75x to 16.65x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.