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MTUS: Labor Agreement Progress Will Support Share Upside Into 2026

Update shared on 11 Dec 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
29.5%
7D
1.7%

Analysts have nudged their price target on Metallus modestly higher to approximately $20.50 per share, citing slightly increased discount rate and valuation multiple assumptions, while leaving core growth and margin expectations effectively unchanged.

What's in the News

  • Metallus and United Steelworkers (USW) Local 1123 reached a new tentative four year labor agreement after members rejected the prior proposal on October 30, 2025, with a second vote date to be announced and the current contract extended to January 29, 2026 (company filing).
  • The company reported completing repurchases of 733,473 shares, representing 1.74 percent of shares outstanding, for $10.2 million under its buyback program announced May 9, 2024. This included 277,734 shares repurchased between July 1 and October 31, 2025 (company filing).
  • Following the initial rejection of the October 3, 2025 tentative labor agreement, Metallus and USW Local 1123 extended the existing contract by 90 days to January 29, 2026. The extension allows further negotiations while maintaining normal operations for roughly 1,200 Canton, Ohio employees (company announcement).
  • Earlier in the bargaining cycle, Metallus and USW Local 1123 had agreed to a short term contract extension from September 29 to October 15, 2025 so negotiations on a new four year agreement could continue for the Canton workforce (company announcement).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Unchanged at approximately $20.50 per share, indicating no material shift in intrinsic value assumptions.
  • Discount Rate: Risen slightly from about 8.04 percent to roughly 8.13 percent, reflecting a modestly higher required return.
  • Revenue Growth: Effectively unchanged at around 11.12 percent, suggesting stable medium term top line expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin: Essentially flat at just under 7.90 percent, indicating no meaningful revision to margin outlook.
  • Future P/E: Increased slightly from about 8.43x to roughly 8.45x, implying a marginally higher valuation multiple on forward earnings.

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