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Update shared on29 Jul 2025

Fair value Increased 80%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$56.80
20.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
06 Aug
US$68.39
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1Y
522.9%
7D
13.5%

The significant upward revision in MP Materials' price target reflects material improvements in both net profit margin and revenue growth forecasts, resulting in a new consensus analyst price target of $50.67.


What's in the News


  • MP Materials completed a $649.99 million follow-on equity offering, issuing 11,818,181 common shares at $55 per share with a $1.65 discount per share.
  • Entered a definitive, long-term $500 million partnership with Apple to supply rare earth magnets from 100% recycled materials, expanding Fort Worth, Texas, factory and constructing a dedicated recycling line at Mountain Pass; shipments to support Apple devices beginning in 2027.
  • Announced a multibillion-dollar public-private partnership with the U.S. Department of Defense to accelerate an end-to-end U.S. rare earth magnet supply chain, including construction of a second domestic facility (10X Facility) and expanded Mountain Pass capabilities; secured $1 billion in bank financing and $400 million in DoD convertible preferred investment.
  • Signed a memorandum of understanding with Saudi Arabian Mining Company to explore opportunities for a fully integrated rare earth supply chain in Saudi Arabia, spanning mining to magnet production.
  • Reported Q1 2025 production of 12,213 MT REO (vs. 11,151 MT prior year) and 563 MT NdPr (vs. 131 MT prior year).

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for MP Materials

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly risen from $28.11 to $50.67.
  • The Net Profit Margin for MP Materials has significantly risen from 15.47% to 25.50%.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for MP Materials has significantly risen from 47.6% per annum to 58.5% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.