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AMR: Future P/E Drop And Completed Buyback Signal Potential Upside Ahead

Update shared on 22 Nov 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-35.7%
7D
-1.7%

Analysts have updated their price target for Alpha Metallurgical Resources, holding it steady at $184.50 as improved revenue growth projections are offset by a modestly higher discount rate and a slight reduction in profit margin expectations.

What's in the News

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources reduced its 2025 shipment guidance for metallurgical coal to a range of 13.8 million to 14.8 million tons. (Key Developments)
  • The company expects to ship between 0.8 million and 1.2 million tons of thermal coal in 2025. (Key Developments)
  • Total 2025 sales volume is now forecasted between 14.6 million and 16.0 million tons. (Key Developments)
  • Between July 1 and October 31, 2025, Alpha repurchased 134,515 shares for $19.99 million and completed the buyback of 6,765,050 shares for $1,120.29 million, which was initiated in March 2022. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target remains unchanged at $184.50.
  • The discount rate has risen slightly, moving from 7.81% to 7.96%.
  • Revenue growth projections have increased significantly from 7.65% to 11.56%.
  • Net profit margin expectation has edged down, dropping from 19.71% to 19.15%.
  • The future P/E ratio has decreased, falling from 5.15x to 4.71x.

Disclaimer

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