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Update shared on19 Aug 2025

Fair value Decreased 10%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$16.29
2.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
20 Aug
US$15.84
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1Y
-31.3%
7D
1.0%

The notable downward revision in Flowers Foods’ price target reflects reduced confidence in both revenue growth and profitability outlook, leading to a new consensus fair value of $16.29.


What's in the News


  • Flowers Foods lowered its earnings guidance for Fiscal 2025, with expected net sales now at $5.239 billion to $5.308 billion, below prior estimates.
  • Excluding the Simple Mills acquisition, projected net sales reflect a year-over-year decline, indicating underlying business softness.
  • Flowers Foods was dropped from the Russell 1000 Dynamic Index.
  • The board approved a 3.1% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.2475 per share, marking the 91st consecutive quarterly dividend.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Flowers Foods

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly fallen from $18.12 to $16.29.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Flowers Foods has significantly fallen from 2.1% per annum to 1.4% per annum.
  • The Net Profit Margin for Flowers Foods has fallen from 4.22% to 4.00%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.